December 15, 2012
Impact of tax rate expiration varies among West Virginians
Kyle Slagle
U.S. income tax rates vary across five tiers of income. The state median income and tax rate aligns with the second fifth of Americans. Shown here are the current tax rates (w/ cuts) and the amount of taxes paid, compared to what the tax rates will be if the Bush tax cuts expire (w/o cuts). Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census
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CHARLESTON, W.Va. -- On Jan. 1, among the many effects if no budget deal is reached by Congress and the Obama administration, taxes could go up for 114 million middle-class families, according to a report earlier this year from the White House's National Economic Council.

As part of a deal, President Obama and many congressional Democrats have said they want to keep income tax cuts for 98 percent of Americans, and let tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans expire for incomes over $250,000.

Republican leaders have said they're against letting the tax cuts expire for anyone, although several GOP lawmakers have said in recent days that, in the wake of Obama's re-election victory, tax rates on the top-earning Americans will have to go up.

If no deal is reached, though, all of the George W. Bush-era tax cuts will expire -- meaning various increases for people with different income levels.

For example, the median household income in West Virginia in 2011 was $38,482, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. The tax rate for that household is currently 25 percent; if the tax cuts expire, it would be 28 percent.

In terms of dollars, that household's federal income tax payment would rise from $9,620 to $10,775.

(That number doesn't include a wide variety of deductions that people often claim on their taxes, including the standard IRS deduction, business expenses, health care and education costs and charitable donations.)

The effects of other tax rate changes, if the tax cuts expire on Dec. 31, include:

  • Of the poorest 20 percent of American households in 2011, the highest income was $20,262. That household's rate is now 10 percent and would rise to 15 percent -- an increase from $2,026 to $3,039.
  • For the next 20 percent of households, the highest income in 2011 was $38,520. At that income, the tax rate would rise from 25 to 28 percent, going from $9,630 to $10,756.
  • For the middle 20 percent of Americans, the highest household income in 2011 was $62,434. Those households now have an income tax rate of 28 percent; it would rise to 31 percent, meaning an increase from $17,482 to $19,355.
  • The top household income for those in the next 20 percent was $101,582. If their tax rates increased from 33 percent to 36 percent, their taxes would increase by $3,048.
  • At a household income of $250,000 -- the point where many Democrats are willing to let the tax cuts expire -- the tax rate would rise from 35 to 39.5 percent, meaning an increase in taxes from $87,500 to $98,750.
  • A millionaire household would face the same percentage increase, and taxes there would rise from $350,000 to $395,000.
  • According to the National Economic Council, allowing the tax cuts to expire for the wealthiest 2 percent of Americans would save $850 billion if tax cuts end for the wealthiest two percent. A proposed increase on estate taxes for the same group would add another $150 billion in federal revenue.

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