Marshall's best scenario: Beat ECU and have Tulane beat Rice. With that, the Herd would host either UTSA or Tulane in the championship game.
News on the Liberty Bowl front: That bowl has swapped selection order with the BBVA Compass Bowl in Birmingham, and is guaranteed an SEC team. That happened after the Liberty did not get an SEC team last year.
That means the Liberty will pick either the C-USA champion or a team from the American Athletic Conference. If it's the latter, it's the second time in three years C-USA didn't receive its traditional place in Memphis, despite declarations by the league that it would.
A key piece of the puzzle is whether Mississippi State became bowl eligible late Thursday night by beating Mississippi.
Back in the East Division, FAU (5-6, 3-4) is favored to become bowl eligible by winning Shula Bowl XII against Florida International (1-10, 1-6). But will the Owls receive one of the 70 bids?
It doesn't look good. Sixty-nine teams have attained eligibility, with 10 or so teams still in the running. FAU's fan base will not wield much influence, especially with the Atlantic Coast Conference and Pac-12 expected to have surplus teams.
As for UTSA, the only way a transitional team can land in a bowl is if the number of eligible teams falls short of the magic 70. Won't happen.
There are two games in the FBS pitting teams with a combined 2-20 record: Idaho at New Mexico State and Southern Mississippi (0-11, 0-7) at UAB. The Golden Eagles are trying to end their nation-worst losing streak at 23, and leave the ranks of the winless (Georgia State, Miami of Ohio, Hawaii, Georgia State).
Doug Smock at 304-348-5130, dougsm...@wvgazette.com or follow him at twitter.com/dougsmock.